Prognostic factors for atherosclerosis progression in saphenous vein grafts: the postcoronary artery bypass graft (Post-CABG) trial. Post-CABG Trial Investigators.

OBJECTIVES The study was done to assess patients in the Post-Coronary Artery Bypass Graft (Post-CABG) trial to determine prognostic factors for atherosclerosis progression. BACKGROUND Saphenous vein grafts (SVGs) are effective in relieving angina and, in certain patient subsets, in prolonging life. However, the progression of atherosclerosis in many of these grafts limits their usefulness. METHODS The Post-CABG trial studied moderate versus aggressive lipid-lowering and low-dose warfarin versus placebo in patients with a history of coronary artery bypass surgery and found that more aggressive lipid lowering was effective in preventing progression of atherosclerosis in SVGs, but warfarin had no effect. Using variables measured at baseline, we sought the independent prognostic factors for atherosclerosis progression in SVGs, employing the statistical method of generalized estimating equations with a logit-link function. RESULTS Twelve independent prognostic factors for atherosclerosis progression were found. In the order of their importance they were: maximum stenosis of the graft at baseline angiography, years post-SVG placement; the moderate low-density lipoprotein-cholesterol (LDL-C) lowering strategy; prior myocardial infarction; high triglyceride level; small minimum graft diameter; low high-density lipoprotein-cholesterol (HDL-C); high LDL-C; high mean arterial pressure; low ejection fraction; male gender; and current smoking. CONCLUSIONS This study identified Post-CABG patient and SVG characteristics associated with saphenous vein graft atherosclerosis progression. These data provide a basis for rational risk factor management to prevent progression of SVG atherosclerosis.